Published: 2023/12/15

Updated: 2023/12/15

Author: Alex Matt

Unlocking the Potential: Bitcoin’s Path to $100K and the Crucial Role of ETFs

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The recent turbulence in the cryptocurrency market, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation, and geopolitical conflicts, has cast a shadow over Bitcoin’s price. However, industry experts, including Blockstream CEO Adam Back, are optimistic about a resurgence in 2024, citing the influence of systemic changes and the potential approval of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). In this article, we explore Back’s insights into Bitcoin’s trajectory and the crucial role ETFs could play in propelling the cryptocurrency to $100,000.


CasinoColada – Bitcoin’s Historical Context

Adam Back, a cryptographer and pioneer of the proof-of-work algorithm used in Bitcoin’s protocol, views the past few years as a period of “biblical” challenges for Bitcoin. The confluence of events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, quantitative easing, and regional conflicts has impacted both traditional and crypto markets. Back highlights the cascading effects on portfolio management, as investment managers faced increased risks and liquidity concerns, often resorting to selling liquid assets like Bitcoin.


CasinoColada – Bitcoin’s Supply Dynamics

Bitcoin operates on a protocol that includes programmed block reward halvings approximately every 210,000 blocks. As the next halving approaches, reducing miner rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, Back emphasizes that Bitcoin’s value is trailing below historical trends. The impact of recent macro events, such as the Three Arrows Capital, Celsius, BlockFi, and FTX-related controversies, has subsided, contributing to Bitcoin’s recent price surge.

Back contends that Bitcoin could have already reached $100,000 if not for the challenges posed by external factors. He refers to the “stock-to-flow” model by PlanB, indicating that historical patterns suggest savvy investors bought Bitcoin before halving events, capitalizing on significant price surges in the subsequent 18 months. Bitcoin’s repeated hits at $44,000 in December 2023 validate Back’s earlier prediction.

A pivotal factor in Bitcoin’s potential ascent to $100,000 is the anticipated approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Analysts, including Eric Balchunas, James Seyffart, and Michael Novogratz, believe that ETF approvals could bring massive institutional investments into the Bitcoin market.

Back underscores the importance of ETFs, stating that traditional fund managers like BlackRock and Fidelity, bound by rules that limit direct investments in assets like Bitcoin, could leverage spot Bitcoin ETFs. These investment vehicles provide a regulated and accessible entry point for institutional investors, potentially driving significant capital inflows.


CasinoColada – Conclusion

As Bitcoin moves into 2024, the convergence of historical trends, the resolution of systemic challenges, and the potential approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs could pave the way for a remarkable resurgence. Adam Back’s insights emphasize the undervalued influence of ETFs in expanding Bitcoin’s reach to institutional investors, opening new avenues for capital inflows and potentially propelling the cryptocurrency to $100,000 in the coming year.

The Author

The Author

Alex Matt


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